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Parker Hannifin started out in 1917 as Parker Appliance, selling pneumatic brakes... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Sep 28, 2026

Parker Hannifin (PH) Stock Analysis: Aerospace Strength and Record Backlog Underpin a Consolidating Share Price

Key Takeaways

  • Parker Hannifin shares closed at $978.33 on September 25, 2026, roughly 1.7% below the $995.02 close recorded about 30 calendar days earlier, reflecting a period of consolidation rather than a sharp directional move.
  • Fiscal 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) was a record year, with sales surpassing $20 billion for the first time at $21.5 billion and adjusted EPS rising 18% to $32.31.
  • Total backlog reached a record $12.8 billion, up 16% year over year, while Aerospace Systems delivered a fourth consecutive year of double-digit organic growth.
  • Management introduced fiscal 2027 guidance calling for continued growth, with adjusted EPS of $34.75 at the midpoint, and raised its long-term adjusted segment operating margin target to 30% by fiscal 2031.
  • Analyst sentiment remains broadly constructive, with a consensus Buy rating and an average 12-month price target above $1,100, though recent coverage reflects a mix of Outperform and Equal-Weight views.

Current Market Snapshot

Parker Hannifin Corporation has spent recent weeks trading in a relatively narrow range as investors weigh record financial results against broader macro uncertainty. After reaching levels near $995 in late August 2026, the stock drifted lower through mid-September before recovering to close at $978.33 on September 25, 2026. The modest pullback of approximately 1.7% over the trailing 30-day window stands in contrast to the stronger multi-month momentum the shares have shown on the back of sustained aerospace demand and rising industrial order rates.

Sector positioning remains a central theme. As a diversified motion and control technologies company with meaningful aerospace exposure, Parker Hannifin sits at the intersection of industrial capital spending, commercial aviation growth, and defense budgets. Investors continue to follow the stock closely for signals on order momentum, margin execution, and the integration of a series of acquisitions intended to sharpen the company's portfolio toward higher-margin, longer-cycle markets.

Parker Hannifin (PH) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Parker Hannifin is a Fortune 250 global leader in motion and control technologies, providing precision-engineered solutions across two principal reporting segments: Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems. The company designs and manufactures a broad range of motion, fluid, and control systems used in mobile, industrial, and aerospace applications, serving customers in industries that include hydraulics, filtration, process control, climate control, and aerospace and defense.

The company's competitive strengths include a diversified end-market footprint, deep engineering and application expertise, a proprietary "Win Strategy" operating system, and a portfolio that has been deliberately shifted toward aerospace, engineered materials, and filtration platforms. This repositioning, combined with a track record of margin expansion and disciplined capital deployment, has helped Parker Hannifin generate record adjusted segment operating margins and position itself for long-cycle growth. Investors track the stock for its ability to compound earnings through organic growth, acquisition integration, share repurchases, and a dividend that has now increased for 70 consecutive years.

Recent Developments Driving PH

Several verified developments have shaped investor sentiment toward Parker Hannifin in recent weeks. The company reported record fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results in early August 2026, including $21.5 billion in annual sales, organic growth of 6.6%, and a record adjusted segment operating margin of 27.3%. Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS rose 21% to $9.27, while total orders increased 19% on a three-month comparison basis.

Aerospace Systems has been a standout contributor, with fourth-quarter sales reaching a record $1.9 billion on 13.4% organic growth and a record aerospace backlog of $8.5 billion. Management also raised its long-term adjusted segment operating margin target to 30% by fiscal 2031, ahead of its prior schedule, and introduced fiscal 2027 guidance implying adjusted EPS of $34.75 at the midpoint.

On the capital deployment front, the company completed its $1 billion acquisition of Curtis Instruments and announced pending transactions for Filtration Group Corporation and the commercial Aerospace & Defense business of CIRCOR International, representing roughly $12 billion in announced deals aimed at strengthening electrification, filtration, and aerospace capabilities. In late September, Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an Equal-Weight rating and a $1,050 price target, citing best-in-class execution but noting that already-elevated margins may limit near-term upside.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, investors are likely to monitor several factors tied to Parker Hannifin's fiscal 2027, which runs from July 2026 through June 2027. The pending closings of the Filtration Group and CIRCOR transactions, expected during the first half of fiscal 2027 subject to regulatory clearances, represent key catalysts for the company's portfolio and balance sheet. Their integration, along with the Curtis Instruments deal, will be central to the path toward the new 30% margin target.

Demand trends also matter. Aerospace remains a bright spot, supported by commercial OEM and aftermarket activity as well as defense spending, while certain industrial end markets, including agriculture, are expected to stay soft and oil and gas is forecast to be roughly flat. Management has flagged currency and a higher effective tax rate as fiscal 2027 headwinds. Broader macro considerations such as tariffs, inflation, supply chain dynamics, and the pace of industrial recovery will continue to influence order rates and sentiment. As always, actual results and guidance updates will be the primary drivers of the stock's next directional move.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PH with price predictions
Oct 02, 2026

PH in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 01, 2026

PH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 30 cases where PH's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PH as a result. In 64 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PH just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where PH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +1.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PH advanced for three days, in 245 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 62 cases where PH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

PH moved below its 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

The Aroon Indicator for PH entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.937) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (34.043) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.247) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.473) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

PH paid dividends on September 11, 2026

Parker-Hannifin Corp PH Stock Dividends
А dividend of $2.00 per share was paid with a record date of September 11, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of August 31, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW), Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR), Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC).

Industry description

The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Industrial Machinery Industry is 15.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.71K to 252.96B. GEV holds the highest valuation in this group at 252.96B. The lowest valued company is SPEC at 3.71K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. KRNT experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while OPTT experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 32 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of motion and control technologies and systems

Industry IndustrialMachinery

Industry
Industrial Machinery
Address
6035 Parkland Boulevard
Phone
+1 216 896-3000
Employees
59850
Web
https://www.parker.com
Parker Hannifin (PH) Stock Analysis: Aerospace Strength and Record Backlog Underpin a Consolidating Share Price